The new game for Obama probably means he either has to win Florida or two out of three of Michigan, Ohio and Virginia. That's my prediction: whoever does both of those things wins the election, with the tie going to Obama.
Friday, September 12, 2008
New rules, new game
Andrew Sullivan is advising Obama that he can use the same strategy he used to beat the Clintons to beat McCain. Problem with that advise is that Clinton beat Obama if you were to count electoral college votes. Beyond that in a general election there are no caucus states, there is a different populace voting, there are a different group of states up for grabs, etc. When you change the rules you change the game; different games have different winning strategies.